Metro area · CBSA 41860
Robotaxis in San Francisco Bay Area
San Francisco Bay Area, CA has driverless, paid robotaxi service.
CBSA 41860 (San Francisco–Oakland–Fremont). Waymo's Bay Area service also reaches the Peninsula and San Jose (CBSA 41940).
Scores
How San Francisco Bay Area Scores
This metro has had paid driverless service for 90 days or more, so it is also scored on observed service data: fares, airport access, operators and incidents. One score per fleet type; camera-only fleets weigh weather twice as heavily.
- Demand30%80
- Revenue20%98
- Competition15%—
Held at 50 in Potential mode; Live scores measure competition.
- Operability15%63
- Regulation20%27
The 11 inputs, each with its percentile and source
| Input | Value | Percentile | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Households without a cardemand | 13.1% | 99 | www2.census.gov· Sep 2025high |
| Metro populationdemand | 4.6M | 88 | www2.census.gov· Sep 2025high |
| Population-weighted densitydemand | 12,474/sq mi | 99 | www2.census.gov· Jan 2026high |
| Residents aged 18-34demand | 22.3% | 28 | www2.census.gov· Sep 2025high |
| Airport passengers per residentdemand | 4.9 per resident | 88 | services.arcgis.com· Apr 2025high |
| Median household incomerevenue | $135,590 | 99 | www2.census.gov· Sep 2025high |
| Driver hourly payrevenue | $23.26/hr | 98 | data.bls.gov· May 2025high |
| Days with 1 inch or more of snowoperability · lower is better | 0.0 days/yr | 88 | ncei.noaa.gov· May 2021medium |
| Days with 0.5 inch or more of rainoperability · lower is better | 15.3 days/yr | 77 | ncei.noaa.gov· May 2021high |
| Days with fogoperability · lower is better | 36.5 days/yr | 23 | ncei.noaa.gov· Jan 2026medium |
| Regulatory opennessregulation | 62.0 pts | 27 | cpuc.ca.gov· Aug 2026high |
Percentiles compare this metro with the 100 US metros. See the methodology for every metric and the full rankings.
- Demand30%68
- Revenue20%100
- Competition15%70
- Operability15%60
- Regulation20%3
The 14 inputs, each with its percentile and source
| Input | Value | Percentile | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Households without a cardemand | 13.1% | 100 | www2.census.gov· Sep 2025high |
| Metro populationdemand | 4.6M | 40 | www2.census.gov· Sep 2025high |
| Population-weighted densitydemand | 12,474/sq mi | 100 | www2.census.gov· Jan 2026high |
| Residents aged 18-34demand | 22.3% | 10 | www2.census.gov· Sep 2025high |
| Driver hourly payrevenue | $23.26/hr | 100 | data.bls.gov· May 2025high |
| Days with 1 inch or more of snowoperability · lower is better | 0.0 days/yr | 70 | ncei.noaa.gov· May 2021medium |
| Days with 0.5 inch or more of rainoperability · lower is better | 15.3 days/yr | 80 | ncei.noaa.gov· May 2021high |
| Days with fogoperability · lower is better | 36.5 days/yr | 30 | ncei.noaa.gov· Jan 2026medium |
| Regulatory opennessregulation | 62.0 pts | 5 | cpuc.ca.gov· Aug 2026high |
| Airport passengers with robotaxi access, per residentdemand | 2.4 per resident | 90 | getridewise.com· Oct 2026medium |
| Robotaxi fare for a 5-mile, 15-minute triprevenue | $29.50 | 100 | getridewise.com· Sep 2026medium |
| Operators running paid driverless servicecompetition · lower is better | 1 | 70 | getridewise.com· Oct 2026medium |
| Low-price camera-only entrant presentcompetition · lower is better | No | 70 | getridewise.com· Oct 2026medium |
| Robotaxi injury crashes per million residents, last 12 monthsregulation · lower is better | 5.4 per million | 0 | static.nhtsa.gov· Oct 2026high |
Percentiles compare this metro with the 11 metros with live service. See the methodology for every metric and the full rankings.
- Demand25%68
- Revenue17%100
- Competition13%70
- Operability30%60
- Regulation15%3
The 13 inputs, each with its percentile and source
| Input | Value | Percentile | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Households without a cardemand | 13.1% | 100 | www2.census.gov· Sep 2025high |
| Metro populationdemand | 4.6M | 40 | www2.census.gov· Sep 2025high |
| Population-weighted densitydemand | 12,474/sq mi | 100 | www2.census.gov· Jan 2026high |
| Residents aged 18-34demand | 22.3% | 10 | www2.census.gov· Sep 2025high |
| Driver hourly payrevenue | $23.26/hr | 100 | data.bls.gov· May 2025high |
| Days with 1 inch or more of snowoperability · lower is better | 0.0 days/yr | 70 | ncei.noaa.gov· May 2021medium |
| Days with 0.5 inch or more of rainoperability · lower is better | 15.3 days/yr | 80 | ncei.noaa.gov· May 2021high |
| Days with fogoperability · lower is better | 36.5 days/yr | 30 | ncei.noaa.gov· Jan 2026medium |
| Regulatory opennessregulation | 62.0 pts | 5 | cpuc.ca.gov· Aug 2026high |
| Airport passengers with robotaxi access, per residentdemand | 2.4 per resident | 90 | getridewise.com· Oct 2026low |
| Robotaxi fare for a 5-mile, 15-minute triprevenue | $29.50 | 100 | getridewise.com· Sep 2026low |
| Operators running paid driverless servicecompetition · lower is better | 1 | 70 | getridewise.com· Oct 2026medium |
| Robotaxi injury crashes per million residents, last 12 monthsregulation · lower is better | 5.4 per million | 0 | static.nhtsa.gov· Oct 2026high |
Percentiles compare this metro with the 11 metros with live service. See the methodology for every metric and the full rankings.
Pro
Score History
Loading the score history…
Service
Who Runs Robotaxis Here
- WaymoDriverless, paidLidar
- Book viaOwn app
- AirportPartial · SJC curbside; SFO rental car centre only
- LaunchedAug 21, 2023
getridewise.com· Oct 2026medium - ZooxDriverless, invite or freeLidar
- Book viaOwn app
Free public rides; not yet paid.
techcrunch.com· Aug 2026medium - Tesla RobotaxiSupervisedCamera-only
- Book viaOwn app
Safety driver on board.
notateslaapp.com· Oct 2026medium
Map
Where You Can Ride
- Waymo: City of San Francisco only (Waymo's 47 sq mi whole-city area since October 2023), not a trace; Bay Area service now reaches beyond it. techcrunch.com· Oct 2023lowmodelled
- Airports (pink dots): SFO San Francisco International Airport, OAK Oakland San Francisco Bay Airport. Dashed line: metro area.
Fares
Known Fares and Figures
| Operator | Measure | Value | Period | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla Robotaxi | Average fare per trip | $8.17 | Nov 2025 – Jan 2026 | rideobi.com· Jan 2026medium |
| Tesla Robotaxi | Average pickup wait | 15.3 min | Nov 2025 – Jan 2026 | rideobi.com· Jan 2026medium |
| Waymo | Average fare per trip | $19.69 | Nov 2025 – Jan 2026 | rideobi.com· Jan 2026medium |
| Waymo | Base fare | $4.95 | Apr 2026 – May 2026 | getridewise.com· Sep 2026medium |
| Waymo | Per mile | $3.65/mi | Apr 2026 – May 2026 | getridewise.com· Sep 2026medium |
| Waymo | Per minute | $0.42/min | Apr 2026 – May 2026 | getridewise.com· Sep 2026medium |
| Waymo | Average pickup wait | 5.7 min | Nov 2025 – Jan 2026 | rideobi.com· Jan 2026medium |
Rider-panel figures are medians of receipts from at least 30 riders in a month. Share a receipt from a ride in San Francisco Bay Area
Estimate what a robotaxi could earn its owner in San Francisco Bay AreaRules
Regulation
Driverless paid service under case-by-case permits
Driverless paid service needs DMV and CPUC permits, granted case by case. The CPUC took about 7 months to approve Waymo's 18-county expansion (14 Aug 2026).
Tracker
Recent Events
- Permit
CPUC approves Waymo's expansion to 18 California counties
Approval took about 7 months.
cpuc.ca.gov· Aug 2026high