Potential score

Robotaxi Market Rankings

The 100 largest US metros scored 0–100 for robotaxi potential from public data: demand, revenue, weather and regulation. Markets where driverless paid service is not allowed are multiplied down by a legal gate. How the score works

potential-v1.0 · modelled · percentiles are relative to these 100 metros. A range under a score shows the effect of a low-confidence regulation level one step either way. Grades: A 85+ Excellent, B 70–85 Strong, C 55–70 Fair, D 40–55 Weak, F under 40 Poor.

#	Metro	Score	Demand	Revenue	Operability	Regulation	Legal gate	Confidence
1	Dallas–Fort WorthTX	B72.7Strong	72	69	69	97	Passed	medium
2	DenverCO	B71.367.5–71.3	78	91	48	75	Passed	low
3	PhoenixAZ	B71.2Strong	70	68	94	75	Passed	medium
4	AustinTX	B70.3Strong	64	73	63	97	Passed	medium
5	Salt Lake CityUT	C69.665.8–69.6	74	86	52	75	Passed	low
6	San AntonioTX	C68.4Fair	60	56	80	97	Passed	medium
7	San JoseCA	C67.9Fair	72	99	89	27	Passed	medium
8	San DiegoCA	C67.2Fair	75	92	88	27	Passed	medium
9	San Francisco Bay AreaCA	C66.2Fair	80	98	63	27	Passed	medium
10	Los AngelesCA	C64.2Fair	83	86	62	27	Passed	medium
11	Las VegasNV	C62.8Fair	73	44	91	56	Passed	medium
12	HoustonTX	C60.9Fair	71	35	37	97	Passed	medium
13	AtlantaGA	C60.1Fair	62	56	51	75	Passed	medium
14	El PasoTX	C59.5Fair	60	8	85	97	Passed	medium
15	MiamiFL	C59.4Fair	70	35	58	75	Passed	medium
16	ProvoUT	C58.854.9–58.8	42	80	52	75	Passed	low
17	Colorado SpringsCO	C57.753.9–57.7	42	72	53	75	Passed	low
18	TucsonAZ	C57.1Fair	59	19	87	75	Passed	medium
19	RiversideCA	C57.0Fair	53	73	90	27	Passed	medium
20	SacramentoCA	C56.9Fair	60	86	59	27	Passed	medium
21	TampaFL	C56.1Fair	56	36	64	75	Passed	medium
22	NashvilleTN	C55.852.0–55.8	52	53	48	75	Passed	low
23	DetroitMI	C55.751.9–55.7	64	43	37	75	Passed	low
24	OgdenUT	C55.651.7–55.6	32	73	59	75	Passed	low
25	OrlandoFL	C55.4Fair	63	40	39	75	Passed	medium
26	New OrleansLA	D54.851.0–54.8	64	36	39	75	Passed	low
27	OmahaNE	D54.650.8–54.6	50	48	49	75	Passed	low
28	CharlotteNC	D54.550.7–54.5	54	41	52	75	Passed	low
29	RaleighNC	D54.550.6–54.5	48	59	39	75	Passed	low
30	FresnoCA	D53.0Weak	58	53	82	27	Passed	medium
31	StocktonCA	D51.9Weak	43	81	65	27	Passed	medium
32	McAllenTX	D51.6Weak	43	0	78	97	Passed	medium
33	MemphisTN	D50.246.4–50.2	47	30	52	75	Passed	low
34	BakersfieldCA	D50.1Weak	52	40	90	27	Passed	medium
35	OxnardCA	D49.5Weak	26	95	65	27	Passed	medium
36	Oklahoma CityOK	D49.445.5–49.4	47	19	60	75	Passed	low
37	Grand RapidsMI	D49.345.4–49.3	44	47	26	75	Passed	low
38	North PortFL	D49.1Weak	27	48	58	75	Passed	medium
39	Des MoinesIA	D49.045.1–49.0	34	46	46	75	Passed	low
40	LouisvilleKY	D49.045.1–49.0	41	35	48	75	Passed	low
41	JacksonvilleFL	D48.8Weak	41	40	38	75	Passed	medium
42	DurhamNC	D48.244.4–48.2	34	49	39	75	Passed	low
43	Cape CoralFL	D47.9Weak	31	48	43	75	Passed	medium
44	HonoluluHI	D46.626.6–66.5	70	95	90	27	×0.7 (66.5 before)	low
45	SeattleWA	D45.926.2–65.5	87	95	49	27	×0.7 (65.5 before)	low
46	WichitaKS	D45.241.4–45.2	31	20	63	75	Passed	low
47	TulsaOK	D44.841.0–44.8	36	15	57	75	Passed	low
48	Baton RougeLA	D42.038.1–42.0	42	8	36	75	Passed	low
49	GreensboroNC	D41.837.9–41.8	37	8	43	75	Passed	low
50	Palm BayFL	D40.4Weak	14	32	48	75	Passed	medium
51	KnoxvilleTN	F40.036.1–40.0	33	18	27	75	Passed	low
52	MinneapolisMN	F39.522.6–56.4	64	83	50	27	×0.7 (56.4 before)	low
53	PhiladelphiaPA	F39.222.4–56.0	74	66	50	27	×0.7 (56.0 before)	low
54	BaltimoreMD	F39.222.4–56.0	70	83	36	27	×0.7 (56.0 before)	low
55	LakelandFL	F39.1Poor	19	14	53	75	Passed	medium
56	AugustaGA	F35.7Poor	18	12	36	75	Passed	medium
57	St. LouisMO	F34.819.9–49.7	51	63	59	27	×0.7 (49.7 before)	low
58	MadisonWI	F34.719.8–49.6	60	62	42	27	×0.7 (49.6 before)	low
59	DeltonaFL	F34.7Poor	13	15	35	75	Passed	medium
60	Winston-SalemNC	F34.530.7–34.5	12	9	45	75	Passed	low
61	JacksonMS	F34.030.2–34.0	20	2	33	75	Passed	low
62	ColumbusOH	F33.519.1–47.8	60	43	55	27	×0.7 (47.8 before)	low
63	Virginia BeachVA	F33.118.9–47.3	58	52	45	27	×0.7 (47.3 before)	low
64	ChattanoogaTN	F32.829.0–32.8	12	16	24	75	Passed	low
65	MilwaukeeWI	F32.618.6–46.6	61	40	48	27	×0.7 (46.6 before)	low
66	BoiseID	F32.418.5–46.3	39	59	66	27	×0.7 (46.3 before)	low
67	RichmondVA	F32.118.3–45.8	45	64	43	27	×0.7 (45.8 before)	low
68	ProvidenceRI	F31.918.2–45.6	60	59	18	27	×0.7 (45.6 before)	low
69	Kansas CityMO	F31.418.0–44.9	45	58	44	27	×0.7 (44.9 before)	low
70	SpokaneWA	F30.917.7–44.2	39	71	36	27	×0.7 (44.2 before)	low
71	CincinnatiOH	F30.317.3–43.3	49	45	44	27	×0.7 (43.3 before)	low
72	ClevelandOH	F29.616.9–42.4	55	31	45	27	×0.7 (42.4 before)	low
73	CharlestonSC	F29.216.7–41.7	39	63	29	27	×0.7 (41.7 before)	low
74	PittsburghPA	F28.816.4–41.1	51	30	47	27	×0.7 (41.1 before)	low
75	IndianapolisIN	F28.716.4–40.9	51	28	47	27	×0.7 (40.9 before)	low
76	AllentownPA	F27.415.7–39.1	39	43	39	27	×0.7 (39.1 before)	low
77	WashingtonDC	F25.6Poor	78	97	57	27	×0.4 (64.1 before)	medium
78	BostonMA	F25.50.0–44.6	88	93	37	27	×0.4 (63.7 before)	low
79	HarrisburgPA	F25.114.3–35.9	32	39	37	27	×0.7 (35.9 before)	low
80	New YorkNY	F25.0Poor	81	90	48	27	×0.4 (62.5 before)	medium
81	ChicagoIL	F24.50.0–42.8	87	72	51	27	×0.4 (61.2 before)	low
82	DaytonOH	F23.913.7–34.1	37	17	45	27	×0.7 (34.1 before)	low
83	PortlandOR	F23.70.0–41.5	69	86	56	27	×0.4 (59.3 before)	low
84	BirminghamAL	F23.613.5–33.8	28	24	50	27	×0.7 (33.8 before)	low
85	ToledoOH	F22.913.1–32.8	38	8	47	27	×0.7 (32.8 before)	low
86	ColumbiaSC	F21.912.5–31.2	39	7	35	27	×0.7 (31.2 before)	low
87	AkronOH	F21.312.2–30.4	34	16	26	27	×0.7 (30.4 before)	low
88	GreenvilleSC	F20.311.6–28.9	23	17	37	27	×0.7 (28.9 before)	low
89	BridgeportCT	F19.60.0–34.4	42	88	39	27	×0.4 (49.1 before)	low
90	HartfordCT	F18.90.0–33.0	60	69	15	27	×0.4 (47.2 before)	low
91	New HavenCT	F18.90.0–33.0	53	69	30	27	×0.4 (47.2 before)	low
92	AlbuquerqueNM	F18.70.0–32.7	41	48	78	27	×0.4 (46.7 before)	low
93	AlbanyNY	F18.3Poor	56	64	22	27	×0.4 (45.7 before)	medium
94	Poughkeepsie–NewburghNY	F17.5Poor	37	80	26	27	×0.4 (43.8 before)	medium
95	WorcesterMA	F16.90.0–29.6	41	80	8	27	×0.4 (42.4 before)	low
96	SyracuseNY	F16.6Poor	51	43	33	27	×0.4 (41.6 before)	medium
97	RochesterNY	F16.6Poor	48	41	38	27	×0.4 (41.4 before)	medium
98	BuffaloNY	F16.4Poor	57	29	35	27	×0.4 (40.9 before)	medium
99	FayettevilleAR	F13.80.0–24.1	31	27	45	27	×0.4 (34.4 before)	low
100	Little RockAR	F10.90.0–19.0	27	6	34	27	×0.4 (27.2 before)	low